{"id":13,"date":"2021-12-13T18:00:22","date_gmt":"2021-12-13T16:00:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/?page_id=13"},"modified":"2026-02-05T12:29:32","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T10:29:32","slug":"outputs","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/outputs\/","title":{"rendered":"Outputs"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Publications<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table alignwide is-style-stripes has-small-font-size\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>2025<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Working Paper: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/pid\/61122572\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The Impact of Demographic Change on Spousal Caregiving and Future Gaps in Long-term Care: Microsimulation Projections for Austria and Italy<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Working Paper (<em>forthcoming<\/em>): Projection of Long-Term Care Needs and Care Allowances in Austria<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Peer-reviewed article: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mdpi.com\/2227-9032\/13\/23\/3175\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Demographic Change and the Future of Austria\u2019s Long-Term-Care Allowance: A Dynamic Microsimulation Study<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Conference Paper: <a href=\"https:\/\/iariw.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Wolfson_Tokyo.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Is the \u201cOK Boomer\u201d Meme Realistic for Major Public Transfers in Canada? Intergenerational Equity and Long Run Public Policy in Canada<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Working Paper: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/WELLCARE-wp_2025_700_WIFO.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">How Do Rising Care Needs Impact the Formal and Informal Care Sectors and Existing Inequalities? Comparing Austria and Spain<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Working Paper: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/upload-1806\/wp_2025_698.pdf\">Challenges in Long-term Care: Modelling and Quantifying future care needs, arrangements and gaps in ageing, low fertility societies<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>2024<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Working Paper: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/420231\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/420231\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Comparative Modeling of Long-Term Care in Hours<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Report: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/WELLCARE-Results-of-the-Public-Consultation-on-care-economy_Oct24.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Public Consultation on Care Economy<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Working Paper:<strong> <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.iser.essex.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/files\/working-papers\/cempa\/cempa7-24.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The Life Course Effects of Care<\/a>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Working Paper: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/upload-5217\/wp_2024_677.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">How vulnerable are Care Systems to future changes in demand and supply?<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>2023<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Peer reviewed article: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S2212828X23000154?via%3Dihub\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The effect of educational expansion and family change on the sustainability of public and private transfers<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>2022<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Peer reviewed article: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0313592622000698?via%3Dihub\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Measuring the lifecycle impact of welfare state policies in the face of ageing<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Working Paper: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iser.essex.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/files\/working-papers\/cempa\/cempa3-22.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Dynamic Simulation of Taxes and Welfare Benefits by Database Imputation<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Working Paper: <a href=\"https:\/\/ideas.repec.org\/p\/ewp\/wpaper\/436web.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Lifecycle consumption and household structure: A pseudo-panel approach<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Simulation tools<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>MicroWELT simulation software and parameterisation<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>MicroWELT 2.0 LTC<\/strong> model is a new, improved and extended x-compatible re-implementation of the dynamic microsimulation platform <a href=\"https:\/\/www.microwelt.eu\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">microWELT<\/a> currently being developed within the project. It focuses on projecting long-term care (LTC) demand in hours, care arrangements and care gaps.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is used for a wide range of studies, including long-term care projections, labor force projections, the impact of education, health, and ethnicity on the future labor force, the economic integration of immigrants, the sustainability and adequacy of social security systems, and private and public social transfers (time and money) according to the National Transfer Accounting (NTA) framework. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>MicroWELT 2.0 LTC is open source. It is fully documented and designed as a modular platform that can be refined and extended for diverse purposes. X-compatibility refers to the ability to compile the source code in two programming technologies, namely&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.statcan.gc.ca\/en\/microsimulation\/modgen\/modgen\">Modgen<\/a>&nbsp;and its new open source successor&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/openmpp\/openmpp.github.io\/wiki\">openM++<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.microwelt.eu\/documentation\/microwelt-20\/microwelt-20-index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a> to access the model<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.microwelt.eu\/projects\/wellcare\/wellcare-index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"614\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/WELLCARE-Twitter-post-1024x614.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-229\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/WELLCARE-Twitter-post-1024x614.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/WELLCARE-Twitter-post-300x180.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/WELLCARE-Twitter-post-768x461.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/WELLCARE-Twitter-post-1536x922.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/WELLCARE-Twitter-post-2048x1229.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Publications 2025 Working Paper: The Impact of Demographic Change on Spousal Caregiving and Future Gaps in Long-term Care: Microsimulation Projections for Austria and Italy Working Paper (forthcoming): Projection of Long-Term &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-13","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/13","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13"}],"version-history":[{"count":23,"href":"https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/13\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":272,"href":"https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/13\/revisions\/272"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ub.edu\/wellcare\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}