BIAP Lectures on Evidence and Philosophy

BIAP Lectures on Evidence & Philosophy

Inaugural lecture with Amalia Amaya (The University of Edinburgh)

Title: Virtue and the Limits of Evidence
Date: 15 February 2023
Time: 15:45 – 17:45
BIAP Lectures on Evidence & Philosophy

Lecture with Roman Frigg (London School of Economics)

Title: Making Confident Decisions with Model Ensembles
Date: 19 June 2023
Time: 17:00
Venue: Sala Jane Addams, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Barcelona (4th Floor, Edifici de Historia, Geografia i Filosofia, Carrer Montalegre 6, 08001 Barcelona).
Abstract: Many policy decisions take input from collections of scientific models. Such decisions face significant and often poorly understood uncertainty. We rework the so-called confidence approach to tackle decision-making under severe uncertainty with multiple models, and we illustrate the approach with a case study: insurance pricing using hurricane models. The confidence approach has important consequences for this case and offers a powerful framework for a wide class of problems. We end by discussing different ways in which model ensembles can feed information into the approach, appropriate to different collections of models.