WORKING PAPERS

ISSN 2014-1254

2024

2024/06The diabolic loop between sovereign and banking risk in the euro area“. Gómez-Puig M. and Sosvilla-Rivero S. 2024. 11 pag.

2024/05Do voice and social information contribute to changing views about rent control policy?“. Brandts J., Busom I. and Lopez-Mayan C. 2024. 62 pag.

2024/04Emissions and Allowances in the EU Emissions Trading System after the Paris Agreement“. Cilekoglu A. A. 2024. 38 pag.

2024/03Quantifying sovereign risk in the euro area“. Singh M. K., Gómez-Puig M. and Sosvilla-Rivero S. 2024. 43 pag.

2024/02Monitoring time-varying systemic risk in sovereign debt and currency markets with generative AI“. Chuliá H., Khalili S. and Uribe J. M. 2024. 46 pag.

2024/01Asymmetric Sovereign Risk: Implications for Climate Change Preparation“. Gomez-Gonzalez J. E., Uribe J. M. and Valencia O. M. 2024. 50 pag.

2023

2023/21The many forms of poverty: Analyses of deprivation interlinkages in the developing world“. Suppa N., Alkire S. and Nogales R. 2023. 41 pag.

2023/20Economic uncertainty and suicide mortality in post-pandemic England“. Sorić M., Sorić P. and Claveria O. 2023. 51 pag.

2023/19Remunicipalization of Local Public Services: Policy Drivers and Changing Prices“. Albalate D., Bel G., González-Gómez F., Hernández-Gutiérrez J. C. and Picazo-Tadeo A. J. 2023. 39 pag.

2023/18A different look at the nexus between entrepreneurship and development using GEM data“. Alzate E. and Claveria O. 2023. 24 pag.

2023/17Paying for Protection: Bilateral Trade with an Alliance Leader and Defense Spending of Minor Partners“. Albalate D., Bel G., Mazaira-Font F. A. and Ros-Oton X. 2023. 38 pag.

2023/16How Have Video-on-Demand Platforms Shaped Our Preferences?Endogenous Preferences in a Cultural Market“. Mallén Alberdi B. 2023. 42 pag.

2023/15Sovereign Risk and Economic Complexity: Machine Learning Insights on Causality and Prediction“. Gomez-Gonzalez J. E., Uribe J. M. and Valencia O. M. 2023. 38 pag.

2023/14Navigating the Precarious Path: Understanding the Dualisation of the Italian Labour Market through the Lens of Involuntary Part-Time Employment“. Cuccu L., Royuela V. and Scicchitano S. 2023. 49 pag.

2023/13Risk of hospitalization of diagnosed COVID-19 cases during the pandemic: a time-series analsys to unveil short- and long run dynamics“. Alcañiz M., Estevez M. and Santolino M. 2023. 25 pag.

2023/12Unveiling the underlying severity of multiple pandemic indicators“. Alcañiz M., Estevez M. and Santolino M. 2023. 18 pag.

2023/11Disentangling the separate and combined effects of privatization and cooperation on local government service delivery“. Bel G. and Elston T. 2023. 29 pag.

2023/10Income inequality and redistribution in Scandinavian countries“. Sorić P., and Claveria O. 2023. 32 pag.

2023/09Generalized Extreme Value Approximation to the CUMSUMQ Test for Constant Unconditional Variance in Heavy-Tailed Time Series“. Carrion-i-Silvestre J.L., and Sansó A. 2023. 38 pag.

2023/08Risk of admission to intensive care units due to Covid-19: comparative analysis between European countries“. Alcañiz M., Estévez M. and Santolino M. 2023. 18 pag.

2023/07Labor Market Monopsony and Firm Behavior: Evidence from Spanish Exporters“. Cilekoglu A.A. 2023. 36 pag.

2023/06Export Destination and Firm Upgrading: Evidence from Spain“. Cilekoglu A.A. 2023. 32 pag.

2023/05The Effect of Competition on Language Diversity in the Movie-Theatre Industry“. Mallén Alberdi B. 2023. 35 pag.

2023/04The influence of independent local parties on spending: Evidence from Dutch municipalities“. Sebő M., Gradus R. and Budding T. 2023. 47 pag.

2023/03Fiscal crises and climate change“. Uribe J.M. 2023. 48 pag.

2023/02US uncertainty shocks, credit, production, and prices: The case of fourteen Latin American countries“. Giraldo C., Giraldo I., Gomez-Gonzalez J.E. and Uribe J.M. 2023. 37 pag.

2023/01Geographical distribution of the COVID-19 pandemic across waves in Spain“. Moreno R. and Vayá E. 2023. 36 pag.

2022

2022/23In-group bias in preferences for redistribution: a survey experiment in Italy“. Bruni R., Gioffré A. and Marino M. 2022. 90 pag.

2022/22Have Low Emission Zones slowed urban traffic recovery after Covid-19?“. Albalate D. and Fageda X. 2022. 27 pag.

2022/21La corrupción política en España: un análisis descriptivo (2000-2020)“. Abreu J. 2022. 40 pag.

2022/20Trains of Thought: High-Speed Rail and Innovation in China“. Tsiachtsiras G., Yin D., Miguelez E. and Moreno R. 2022. 61 pag.

2022/19El impacto económico del Covid-19 sobre el sector turístico español“. García-Sanchís J.R., Pons E., Suriñach J. and Vayá E. 2022. 80 pag.

2022/18Does economic complexity reduce the probability of a fiscal crisis?“. Gómez-González J.E., Uribe J.M. and Valencia O.M. 2022. 30 pag.

2022/17Dynamic connectedness between credit and liquidity risks in EMU sovereign debt markets“. Gómez-Puig M., Pieterse-Bloem M. and Sosvilla-Rivero S. 2022. 48 pag.

2022/16Energy Firms in Emerging Markets: Systemic Risk and Diversification Opportunities“. Chuliá H., Muñoz-Mendoza J.A. and Uribe J.M. 2022. 34 pag.

2022/15Non-Crossing Dual Neural Network: Joint Value at Risk and Conditional Tail Expectation estimations with non-crossing conditions“. Vidal-Llana X., Salort Sánchez C., Coia V. and Guillen M. 2022. 22 pag.

2022/14Railways and Roadways to Trust“. Gavresi D., Litina A. and Tsiachtsiras G. 2022. 51 pag.

2022/13Cartel destabilization effect of leniency programs“. Borrell J.R., García C., Jiménez J.L. and Ordóñez-de-Haro J.M. 2022. 57 pag.

2022/12When the Time is Right: Testing for Dynamic Effects in Collaborative Performance“. Bel G., and Elston T. 2022. 48 pag.

2022/11Monitoring daily unemployment at risk“. Chuliá H., Garrón I. and Uribe J.M. 2022. 20 pag.

2022/10Density forecasts of inflation using Gaussian process regression models“. Sorić P., Monte E., Torra S. and Claveria O. 2022. 24 pag.

2022/09Modelling the dynamic interaction between economic uncertainty, growth, unemployment and suicide“. Claveria O. 2022. 24 pag.

2022/08Daily Growth at Risk: financial or real drivers? The answer is not always the same“. Chuliá H., Garrón I. and Uribe J.M. 2022. 53 pag.

2022/07The nexus between variable renewable energy, economy and climate: Evidence from European countries by means of exploratory graphical analysis“. Carty C. and Claveria O. 2022. 33 pag.

2022/06Earthquake exposure and schooling: impacts and mechanisms“. Shidiqi K.A., Di Paolo A. and Choi A. 2022. 36 pag.

2022/05Does geographical exposure to language learning centres matter in a bilingual city?“. Di Paolo A. and Mallén B. 2022. 41 pag.

2022/04Currency and commodity return relationship under extreme geopolitical risks: Evidence from the invasion of Ukraine“. Dodd O., Fernandez-Perez A. and Sosvilla-Rivero S. 2022. 21 pag.

2022/03Pictures are worth many words: Effectiveness of visual communication in dispelling the rent–control misconception“. Brandts J., Busom I., Lopez-Mayan C. and Panadés J. 2022. 49 pag.

2022/02Inequality of subjective economic uncertainty and individual economic prospects in the pandemic period“. Guillen M., Santolino M. and Vidal-Llana X. 2022. 27 pag.

2022/01An application of deep learning for exchange rate forecasting“. Claveria O., Monte E., Sorić P. and Torra S. 2022. 44 pag.

2021

2021/18Risk Spillovers between Global Corporations and Latin American Sovereigns: Global Factors Matter“. Gomez-Gonzalez J.E., Uribe J.M. and Valencia O.M. 2021. 33 pag.

2021/17Assessing the relationship between electricity and natural gas prices in European markets in times of distress“. Uribe J.M., Mosquera-López S. and Arenas O.J. 2021. 47 pag.

2021/16Mixed oligopoly and predatory public firms“. Borrell J.R. and Suarez C. 2021. 24 pag.

2021/15Detecting multiple level shifts in bounded time series“. Carrion-i-Silvestre J.L. and Gadea M.D. 2021. 70 pag.

2021/14Migrant Inventors as Agents of Technological Change“. Miguelez E. and Morrison A. 2021. 41 pag.

2021/13Commonality, macroeconomic factors and banking profitability“. Joaqui-Barandica O., Manotas-Duque D.F. and Uribe-Gil J.M. 2021. 38 pag.

2021/12Employment uncertainty a year after the irruption of the covid-19 pandemic“. Sorić P. and Claveria O. 2021. 28 pag.

2021/11Too big to fail? An analysis of the Colombian banking system through compositional data“. Vega Baquero J.D. and Santolino M. 2021. 26 pag.

2021/10Price Bubbles in Lithium Markets around the World“. Uribe J.M., Restrepo N. and Guillen M. 2021. 28 pag.

2021/09The Impact of Combining Work with Study on the Labour Market Performance of Graduates: the Joint Role of Work Intensity and Job-Field Match“. Di Paolo A. and Matano A. 2021. 27 pag.

2021/08The Impact of Robot Adoption on Global Sourcing“. Cilekoglu A.A., Moreno R. and Ramos R. 2021. 46 pag.

2021/07Interdependent Capital Structure Choices and the Macroeconomy“. Uribe J.M., Gomez-Gonzalez J.E. and Hirs-Garzón J. 2021. 33 pag.

2021/06Vulnerable Funding in the Global Economy“. Chuliá H., Garrón I. and Uribe J.M. 2021. 57 pag.

2021/05Financial and Macroeconomic Uncertainties and Real Estate Markets“. Gomez-Gonzalez J.E., Hirs-Garzón J., Sanin-Restrepo S. and Uribe J.M. 2021. 28 pag.

2021/04Rethinking Asset Pricing with Quantile Factor Models“. Uribe J.M., Guillen M. and Vidal-Llana X. 2021. 48 pag.

2021/03Nowcasting and forecasting GDP growth with machine-learning sentiment indicators“. Claveria O., Monte E. and Torra S. 2021. 27 pag.

2021/02Private management and strategic bidding behavior in electricity markets: Evidence from Colombia”. Suárez C. 2021. 59 pag.

2021/01Mixed Oligopoly and Market Power Mitigation: Evidence from the Colombian Wholesale Electricity Market”. Suárez C. 2021. 72 pag.

2020

2020/01Economic determinants of employment sentiment: A socio-demographic analysis for the euro area”. Claveria O., Lolic I., Monte E. and Soric P. 2020. 29 pag.

2020/02An analysis on the success of privately-led job search assistance programs against social exclusion”. Albalate D., Bel G. and Farré L. 2020. 29 pag.

2020/03Risk reference charts for speeding based on telematics information”. Guillen M., Pérez-Marín A.M. and Alcañiz M. 2020. 15 pag.

2020/04Introducing and enhancing competition to improve solid waste management in Barcelona”. Bel G. and Sebő M. 2020. 35 pag.

2020/05Ensuring Stability, Accuracy and Meaningfulness in Synthetic Control Methods: The Regularized SHAP-Distance Method”. Albalate D., Bel G. and Mazaira-Font F.A. 2020. 39 pag.

2020/06Spectral analysis of business and consumer survey data“. Claveria O., Monte E. and Torra S. 2020. 31 pag.

2020/07Retos para el análisis y la estimación de la distribución de probabilidad en Big-data”. Bolancé C. 2020. 39 pag.

2020/08The effect of health and economic costs on governments’ policy responses to COVID-19 crisis, under incomplete information”. Bel G., Gasulla O. and Mazaira-Font F.A. 2020. 33 pag.

2020/09The bivariate Sarmanov distribution for insurance claim frequencies and average severities”. Vernic R., Bolancé C. and Alemany R. 2020. 22 pag.

2020/10Geography and Regional Economic Growth: The high cost of deviating from nature”. Albalate D., Bel G. and Mazaira-Font F.A. 2020. 35 pag.

2020/11Measuring and assessing economic uncertainty”. Claveria O. 2020. 22 pag.

2020/12Evolution of business and consumer uncertainty in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic. A sector analysis in 32 European countries”. Claveria O. 2020. 22 pag.

2020/13In knowledge we trust: learning-by-interacting and the productivity of inventors”. Tubiana M., Miguelez E. and Moreno R. 2020. 42 pag.

2020/14Regional borders, local unemployment and happiness”. Di Paolo A. and Ferrer-i-Carbonell A. 2020. 39 pag.

2020/15Global effects of US uncertainty: real and financial shocks on real and financial markets”. Gomez-Gonzalez J.E., Hirs-Garzon J. and Uribe J. 2020. 51 pag.

2020/16Does Regional Growth Affect Public Attitudes Towards the European Union?”. López-Bazo E. 2020. 26 pag.

2020/17On the impact of European Union Cohesion Policy on regional support for the European project”. López-Bazo E. 2020. 34 pag.

2020/18Number and severity of BI victims, assuming dependence between vehicles involved in the crash”. Santolino M. and Ayuso M. 2020. 29 pag.

2019

2019/01Has the ECB’s Monetary Policy Promted Companies to Invest or Pay Dividends?“. Cohen L., Gomez-Puig M. and Sosvilla S. 2019. 39 pag.

2019/02English skills, labour market status and earnings of Turkish women?“. Di Paolo A. and Tansel A. 2019. 32 pag.

2019/03Green regions and local firms’ innovation“. D’Agostino L. and Moreno R. 2019. 47 pag.

2019/04Technological cooperation and R&D outsourcing at the firm level: The role of the regional context“. Tojeiro-Rivero D. and Moreno R. 2019. 55 pag.

2019/05The Institutional Adjustment Margin to Import Competition: Evidence from Italian Minimum Wages”. Matano A., Naticchioni P. and Vona F. 2019. 29 pag.

2019/06Who pollutes more? Gender differences in consumptions patterns“. Guillen M., Serrano M. and Toro F. 2019. 48 pag.

2019/07Testing for private information using trade duration models with unobserved market heterogeneity: The case of Banco Popular“. Pérez-Rodríguez J., Gómez-Déniza E. and Sosvilla-Rivero S. 2019. 23 pag.

2019/08Does longevity impact the severity of traffic accidents? A comparative study of young-older and old-older drivers“. Ayuso M., Sánchez-Reyes R. and Santolino M. 2019. 33 pag.

2019/09The impact of curbside parking regulations on car ownership“. Albalate D. and Gragera A. 2019. 34 pag.

2019/10On the modal shift from motorway to high-speed rail: evidence from Italy“. Borsati M. and Albalate D. 2019. 35 pag.

2019/11Re-examining the debt-growth nexus: A grouped fixed-effect approach“. Martínez I., Gómez-Puig M. and Sosvilla-Rivero S. 2019. 48 pag.

2019/12Distant or close cousins: Connectedness between cryptocurrencies and traditional currencies volatilities“. Andrada-Félix J., Fernández-Perez A. and Sosvilla-Rivero S. 2019. 74 pag.

2019/13Do elderly people living in rural areas enjoy better mental well-being? Evidence from Catalonia, Spain“. Alcañiz M., Riera-Prunera M.C. and Solé-Auró A. 2019. 24 pag.

2019/14Increasing contingent guarantees: The asymmetrical effect on sovereign risk of different government interventions“. Singh M.K., Gómez-Puig M. and Sosvilla-Rivero S. 2019. 41 pag.

2019/15The Political Economy of the Paris Agreement. Income Inequality and Climate Policy“. Bel G. and Teixidó J.J. 2019. 24 pag.

2019/16Uncovering the time-varying relationship between commonality in liquidity and volatility“. Chuliá H., Koser K. and Uribe J. 2019. 24 pag.

2019/17Easier said than done: Understanding the implementation of re-municipalization decisions and associated delays“. Albalate D., Bel G. and Reeves E. 2019. 31 pag.

2019/18Forecasting emerging market currencies: Are inflation expectations useful?“. Fuertes A. and Sosvilla-Rivero S. 2019. 31 pag.

2019/19Expected, Unexpected, Good and Bad Uncertainty“. Chuliá H. and Uribe J. 2019. 33 pag.

2019/20Tax me, but don’t drown me in red tape: Explaining differences in corruption across the countries of Europe”. Bel G. 2019. 33 pag.

2018

2018/01Tracking economic growth by evolving expectations via genetic programming: A two-step approach”. Claveria O., Monte E. and Torra S. 2018. 28 pag.

2018/02Ageing and health-related quality of life: evidence from Catalonia (Spain)”. Alcañiz M. and Solé-Auró A. 2018. 19 pag.

2018/03Incorporating creditors’ seniority into contingent claim models: Applicarion to peripheral euro area countries”. Gómez-Puig M., Singh M. and Sosvilla-Rivero S. 2018. 54 pag.

2018/04The robustness of the sovereign-bank interconnection: Evidence from contingent claims analysis”. Gómez-Puig M., Singh M. and Sosvilla-Rivero S. 2018. 53 pag.

2018/05A regional perspective on the accuracy of machine learning forecasts of tourism demand based on data characteristics”. Claveria O., Monte E. and Torra S. 2018. 24 pag.

2018/06A geometric approach to proxy economic uncertainty by a metric of disagreement among qualitative expectations”. Claveria O., Monte E. and Torra S. 2018. 25 pag.

2018/07 “New Imported Inputs, Wages and Worker Mobility” Italo C., Matano A. and Naticchioni P. 2018. 57 pag.

2018/08What drives regional differences in BMI? Evidence from Spain”. Di Paolo A., Gil Trasfi, J. and Raftopoulou A. 2018. 38 pag.

2018/09Together forever? Good and bad market volatility shocks and international consumptionrisk sharing: A tale of a sign”. Chulià H. and Uribe J. 2018. 29 pag.

2018/10Exposure to risk increases the excess of zero accident claims frequency in automobile insurance”. Guillen M., Nielsen JP., Ayuso M. and Pérez-Marín A. 2018. 29 pag.

2018/11The transition towards semi-autonomoues vehicle insurance: the contribution ofusage-based data“. Guillen M., and Pérez-Marín A. 2018. 29 pag.

2018/12Misinformation and Misperception in the market for parking“. Albalate D. and Gragera A. 2018. 39 pag.

2018/13What drives the spatial wage premium for formal and informal workers? The case of Ecuador“. Matano A., Obaco M. and Royuela V. 2018. 35 pag.

2018/14Urbanization in Ecuador : An overview using the FUA definition“. Obaco M. and Díaz-Sánchez J. 2018. 18 pag.

2018/15Do public-private partnership enabling laws increase private investment in infrastructure?“. Albalate D., Bel G. and Geddes R. 2018. 29 pag.

2018/16Does inter-municipal cooperation really reduce delivery costs? An empirical evaluation of the role of scale economies, transaction costs, and governance arragements“. Bel G. and Sebo M. 2018. 33 pag.

2018/17Do government formation deadlocks damage economic growth? Evidence from history’s longest period of political deadlock“. Albalate D. and Bel G. 2018. 31 pag.

2018/18Time connectedness of fear“. Andrada-Félix J., Fernandez-Perez A., Fernández-Rodríguez F. and Sosvilla-Rivero S. 2018. 42 pag.

2018/19Has the economic crisis worsened the world-related stress and mental health of temporary workers in Spain?“. Bartoll X., Gil J. and Ramos R. 2018. 28 pag.

2018/20Linguistic skills and the intergenerational transmission of language“. Caminal R., Cappellari L. and Di Paolo A. 2018. 58 pag.

2018/21A new metric of consensus for Likert scales“. Claveria O. 2018. 11 pag.

2018/22The Impact of Immigration on Native Employment: Evidence from Italy“. Fusaro S. and López-Bazo E. 2018. 42 pag.

2018/23When politics and lobbyism combine to promote white elephants by using PPPs“. Albalate D., Bel G. and Gragera A. 2018. 25 pag.

2018/24Is Private Production of Hospital Services Cheaper than Public Production? A Meta-Regression of Public vs Private Costs and Efficiency for Hospitals“. Bel G. and Esteve M. 2018. 42 pag.

2018/25The benefits of PSM: an oasis or a mirage?“. Awan S., Bel G. and Esteve M. 2018. 53 pag.

2018/26Scaling Down Downside Risk with Inter-Quantile Semivariances“. Uribe J. 2018. 34 pag.

2018/27The Economic Cost of A Hurricane: A Case Study of Puerto Rico and Hurricane Georges 1998 Using Synthetic Control Method“. Albalate D. and Padró-Rosario G. 2018. 32 pag.

2018/28Major Reforms in Electricity Pricing: Evidence from a Quasiexperiment”. Xavier L., Jose M. L., and Jordi J. T. 2018. 38 pag.

2018/29Flexible maximum conditional likelihood estimation for single-index models to predict accident severity with telematics data“. Catalina B., Ricardo C., and Montserrat G. 2018. 46 pag.

2018/30Trust in times of economic crisis in Spain: Paradoxes for social capital theory“. Catalina B., Jordi C., and Diego T. 2018. 29 pag.